PGA · MLB · NFL — DFS & PROPS

Know what the field doesn't.

Projections, ownership simulation, and prop edges built on original research — explosion models, contest sims, and market-calibrated projections the industry doesn't publish. Output posted daily in the Discord, dashboards live here.

Subscribe →See what's inside

pga_projections — weeklySAMPLE

PLAYER	xSG	CEIL	pOWN	TOP5
Scheffler S.	+9.1	2.14	28.4%	14.2%
McIlroy R.	+7.6	1.71	22.1%	9.8%
Aberg L.	+6.2	1.38	17.5%	6.1%
Morikawa C.	+5.4	1.12	12.9%	4.4%
Im S.	+4.8	0.96	9.7%	3.1%
Theegala S.	+4.1	0.88	7.2%	2.6%

What's inside

Everything below currently ships as charts and CSVs in the Discord. One by one, each is becoming a live dashboard on this site — starting with PGA.

PGA Projections & Ownership

WEEKLY

Market-calibrated strokes-gained projections, course-fit ceiling modeling, full-field contest simulation, and projected ownership for every DK slate.

MLB Prop Edges

DAILY

Underdog prop edges from a distribution-first model — per-player over rates validated against reference classes, not just season averages.

MLB DFS Explosion Charts

DAILY

Per-player and per-stack explosion probabilities calibrated to DraftKings scoring thresholds, with price-driven over-expectation leaderboards.

Ownership Simulation

DAILY / WEEKLY

A simulated field built from what the public sees — so you know where the chalk lands before lock, and where the leverage lives.

How it works

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Membership runs through the Tails marketplace — one subscription, cancel anytime.

Get your Discord role

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Dashboards unlock

Your Discord login is your site login — premium dashboards here unlock with the same role.

Track record

Every play is posted before lock and graded after. Results since 2024.

FULL LEDGER COMING TO THIS PAGE

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UD ROI

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UNITS WON

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PROP HIT RATE

Straight from the Discord

A sample of what subscribers see every day — projection charts, prop edges, and slate breakdowns.

Get access →Already subscribed? Join the Discord →

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Stop guessing what the field is doing.

Join the Discord and get every projection, edge, and chart the moment it's posted.

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